Although Aston Villa have struggled at home this season, the extra quality added in January - with Anna Patten and Jill Scott joining on loan - has undoubtedly improved their squad, and we think that they will build upon the Leicester victory to edge out a West Ham side that usually struggle on their travels.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Women win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for West Ham United Women in this match.
