SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.36%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.22%) and 0-4 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
4.91% ( 0.04) | 10.73% ( 0.1) | 84.36% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.34) | 31.03% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.41) | 52.42% ( 0.41) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.44% ( -0.13) | 54.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.38% ( -0.08) | 87.62% ( 0.08) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.78% ( -0.09) | 5.22% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.36% ( -0.26) | 20.65% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.91% | 1-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.73% | 0-2 @ 12.41% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 12.22% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 5.32% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)0-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 84.35% |
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