SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 77.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.48%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
8.68% ( 2.31) | 13.63% ( 2.27) | 77.68% ( -4.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 2.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.6% ( -2.68) | 29.39% ( 2.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.54% ( -3.32) | 50.46% ( 3.32) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( 3.61) | 42.63% ( -3.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( 2.92) | 78.97% ( -2.93) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.9% ( -1.31) | 6.09% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.85% ( -3.81) | 23.14% ( 3.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.29)Other @ 1.83% Total : 8.68% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 1.01) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.65)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.63% | 0-2 @ 10.16% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 9.48% ( -0.87)1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.78)1-3 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.54)0-4 @ 6.63% ( -1.24)1-4 @ 5.66% ( -0.41)0-5 @ 3.71% ( -1.07)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.37)1-5 @ 3.16% ( -0.53)2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 1.73% ( -0.69)1-6 @ 1.48% ( -0.39)2-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.43% Total : 77.67% |
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