SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
42.29% ( -8.2) | 24.29% ( 0.9) | 33.43% ( 7.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( 1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.09) | 42.9% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.09) | 65.3% ( 0.09) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( -3.38) | 20.44% ( 3.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% ( -5.67) | 52.89% ( 5.66) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( 4.83) | 24.99% ( -4.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% ( 6.26) | 59.65% ( -6.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.7) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.89)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -1.52)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.95)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -1.28)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.63)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.72)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.88% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.37)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 1.21) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.93)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 1.19)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.95)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.77)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.45)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.43% |
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