Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-3 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
14.55% ( 0.53) | 17.17% ( 0.31) | 68.27% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 60.94% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.69% ( -0.35) | 30.31% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.44% ( -0.42) | 51.56% ( 0.42) |
Leicester Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( 0.45) | 33.66% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( 0.48) | 70.31% ( -0.48) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.86% ( -0.26) | 8.13% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.46% ( -0.66) | 28.54% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
2-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.55% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.92% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 4.52% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.27% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.27% |
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