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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

James (5', 23', 85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ladd (43')
Ladd (50'), Parris (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: BK Hacken 1-3 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-2 Liverpool Women
Sunday, December 17 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

Although Chelsea are unable to call upon their talismanic striker, we still believe they have enough quality in their squad to get the better of Man United, who have lost each of their last seven competitive meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
48.49% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.96% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)61.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)16.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)45.96% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 48.49%
    Manchester United Women 28.55%
    Draw 22.95%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: BK Hacken 1-3 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 5-2 Leicester Women
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-1 Paris
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-2 Liverpool Women
Sunday, December 17 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-4 Man Utd Women
Sunday, December 10 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-3 Man City Women
Sunday, November 19 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, November 12 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, November 5 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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