Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
38.11% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() | 35.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% (![]() | 50.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% (![]() | 72.4% (![]() |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% (![]() | 25.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% (![]() | 60.85% (![]() |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% (![]() | 27.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% (![]() | 62.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
1-0 @ 9.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.83% |
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