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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
4 - 0
Leicester Women

Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
Greenwood (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Thursday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-0 Leicester Women

Although Manchester City have lost their opening two league games, we think they will have too much quality for Leicester on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.26%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.19%) and 2-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
92.26% (-0.197 -0.2) 5.82% (0.124 0.12) 1.92% (0.069 0.07)
Both teams to score 35.47% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.4% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)22.59% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.29% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)41.71% (0.196 0.2)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.35% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)2.65% (0.046 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.74% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)12.26% (0.168 0.17)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.43% (0.464 0.46)63.56% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.63% (0.209 0.21)92.36% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 92.24%
    Leicester Women 1.92%
    Draw 5.82%
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 12.19% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 8.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.039 0.04)
6-0 @ 5.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 4.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
8-0 @ 1.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 92.24%
1-1 @ 2.77% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.14% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 5.82%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 1.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Man City Women
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-3 Man City Women
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-2 Man City Women
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Reading Women 0-4 Man City Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 6-0 B'ham Women
Wednesday, May 4 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 7-2 Brighton Women
Saturday, April 30 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Thursday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 25 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 1-2 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-0 Reading Women
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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