Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.26%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.19%) and 2-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
92.26% ( -0.2) | 5.82% ( 0.12) | 1.92% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 35.47% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.4% ( -0.15) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.29% ( -0.2) | 41.71% ( 0.2) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.35% ( -0.05) | 2.65% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.74% ( -0.17) | 12.26% ( 0.17) |
Leicester Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
36.43% ( 0.46) | 63.56% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
7.63% ( 0.21) | 92.36% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 8-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 7-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 92.24% | 1-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 5.82% | Other @ 1.92% Total : 1.92% |
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