Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.26%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.19%) and 2-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
92.26% ( -0.2) | 5.82% ( 0.12) | 1.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 35.47% ( 0.44) |
| 77.4% ( -0.15) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
| 58.29% ( -0.2) | 41.71% ( 0.2) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| 97.35% ( -0.05) | 2.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 87.74% ( -0.17) | 12.26% ( 0.17) |
| 36.43% ( 0.46) | 63.56% ( -0.47) |
