SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Manchester United Women | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Aston Villa Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Chelsea Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.12%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 2.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.23%) and 0-4 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.18%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2.08% ( 0.02) | 6.8% ( 0.17) | 91.12% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 31.9% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.97) | 27.86% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.43% ( -1.22) | 48.57% ( 1.23) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.07% ( -0.64) | 66.93% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.2% ( -0.26) | 93.81% ( 0.26) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.45% ( -0.17) | 3.55% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.61% ( -0.58) | 15.39% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.13% Total : 2.08% | 1-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 6.8% | 0-3 @ 14.73% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 13.23% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 12.29% 0-5 @ 8.21% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.94% ( -0.12)0-6 @ 4.57% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 3.3% ( -0.13)0-7 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)1-6 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)0-8 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 91.11% |
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