Birmingham have shown some fight in particular during their games against Arsenal, as they threatened a late comeback with two goals, which is why the visitors could get on the scoresheet this weekend.
However, Man City are in the race for a Champions League qualifying spot, and they are expected to be able to use their quality and experience to ease to three points on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.8%. A draw had a probability of 3.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.94%) and 5-0 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.56%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
