Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England Women | 2 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Denmark Women | 2 | 0 | 3 |
3 | China PR Women | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Haiti Women | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England Women | 2 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Denmark Women | 2 | 0 | 3 |
3 | China PR Women | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Haiti Women | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
Result | ||
China PR Women | Draw | England Women |
29.12% ( -0.33) | 23.08% ( 0.01) | 47.8% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 61.8% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( -0.27) | 39.16% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( -0.28) | 61.49% ( 0.28) |
China PR Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.35) | 25.82% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.47) | 60.78% ( 0.47) |
England Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( 0.02) | 16.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.03) | 46.56% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
China PR Women | Draw | England Women |
2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.12% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.8% |
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