Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
China PR Women	Draw	England Women
29.12% ( -0.33)	23.08% ( 0.01)	47.8% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.8% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.84% (

-0.27)

39.16% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.51% (

-0.28)

61.49% (

0.28)

China PR Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.35)

25.82% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.47)

60.78% (

0.47)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

0.02)

16.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

0.03)

46.56% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

China PR Women 29.12%

England Women 47.8%

Draw 23.07%

China PR Women	Draw	England Women
2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.12%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.8%