The Netherlands will go into the last-16 tie as heavy favourites, and while we expect South Africa to cause their opponents one or two problems, we think that the Dutch will have the extra-quality required to secure their place in the quarter-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 82.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands Women.
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