Although Zambia will go into Saturday's encounter as underdogs, we think that they possess enough quality in the final third to trouble Japan, and as a result, we believe that the two nations will begin the tournament with an entertaining draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
