World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2021 at 5pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
0 - 2
England

Bare (22'), Hysaj (79'), Gjasula (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (39'), Mount (63')
Walker (69'), Kane (73')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Albania had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	England
26.31%	23.94%	49.75%

Both teams to score 56.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84%

45.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.49%

67.51%

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06%

30.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77%

67.23%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77%

18.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.75%

49.25%

Score Analysis

Albania 26.31%

England 49.76%

Draw 23.94%

Albania	Draw	England
1-0 @ 6.62% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.31%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.76%