Nations League | League A

Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 1
Belgium

Rashford (39' pen.), Mount (65')
Rice (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lukaku (16' pen.)
Meunier (38')

Declan Rice: 'England laid down a marker by beating Belgium'

Marcus Rashford: 'Victory over Belgium will do a lot for England's confidence'

Gareth Southgate: 'England's win over Belgium shows youngsters what is possible'

Gareth Southgate excited for England's future following Belgium victory

A closer look at Marcus Rashford's performance against Belgium

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Belgium win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.

Result
England	Draw	Belgium
53.67%	22.11%	24.22%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27%

38.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.97%

61.03%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51%

14.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.52%

42.47%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.07%

Score Analysis

England 53.67%

Belgium 24.22%

Draw 22.11%

England	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.67%	1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.11%	1-2 @ 6.2% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.22%