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EN
Nations League | League A
Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK
Wembley Stadium
BN

England
2 - 1
Belgium

Rashford (39' pen.), Mount (65')
Rice (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lukaku (16' pen.)
Meunier (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Belgium win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.

Result
EnglandDrawBelgium
53.67%22.11%24.22%
Both teams to score 60.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27%38.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97%61.03%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51%14.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52%42.47%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.07%
Score Analysis
    England 53.67%
    Belgium 24.22%
    Draw 22.11%
EnglandDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.22%


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