England
5 - 0
San Marino

Ward-Prowse (14'), Calvert-Lewin (21', 53'), Sterling (31'), Watkins (83')
Mings (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Build‑up

Preview

Southgate: 'We showed hunger and desire against San Marino'

A look at Jesse Lingard's performance against San Marino

England players take knee ahead of San Marino clash

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 99.56%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 6-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (14.61%) and 7-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.18%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
England	Draw	San Marino
99.56%	0.4%	0.05%

Both teams to score 14.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

94.95%

5.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

86.98%

13.02%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.79%

0.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

98.48%

1.52%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

14.15%

85.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.05%

98.95%

Score Analysis

England 99.52%

San Marino 0.05%

Draw 0.4%

England	Draw	San Marino
6-0 @ 15.3% 5-0 @ 14.61% 7-0 @ 13.72% 4-0 @ 11.63% 8-0 @ 10.77% 9-0 @ 7.52% 3-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 3.54% 6-1 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 2.23% 7-1 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 8-1 @ 1.65% 9-1 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 1.13% 1-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.53% Total : 99.52%	Other @ 0.4% Total : 0.4%	Other @ 0.05% Total : 0.05%