Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Angola had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Angola win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
