Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.