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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2020 at 12am UK
 
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Argentina
1 - 1
Paraguay

Gonzalez (41')
De Paul (45'), Montiel (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (21' pen.)
Romero (30'), Cardozo (47'), Perez (76'), Almiron (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
63.5%23.54%12.96%
Both teams to score 36.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71%60.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54%80.46%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85%50.15%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.15%54.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.21%87.79%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 63.49%
    Paraguay 12.96%
    Draw 23.53%
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 17.21%
2-0 @ 14.4%
2-1 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.45%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 63.49%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 3.11%
0-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 12.96%


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