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AN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
RO

Azerbaijan
0 - 3
Rep. Ireland

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Robinson (7', 39'), Ogbene (90')
Egan (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 41.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.18%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawRepublic of Ireland
27.1%31.58%41.32%
Both teams to score 36.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.21%70.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.27%87.73%
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.49%44.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46%80.54%
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 27.1%
    Republic of Ireland 41.32%
    Draw 31.56%
AzerbaijanDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.1%
0-0 @ 15.18%
1-1 @ 13.21%
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 31.56%
0-1 @ 16.33%
0-2 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.32%

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