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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Luxembourg
2 - 1
Azerbaijan

Pinto (8'), Rodrigues (28' pen.)
Martins Pereira (66'), Bohnert (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mahmudov (67')
Huseynov (27'), Ozobic (47'), Krivotsyuk (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.37%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
LuxembourgDrawAzerbaijan
36.67%22.17%41.16%
Both teams to score 68.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.31%31.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.8%53.21%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84%18.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85%49.15%
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73%16.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18%45.82%
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 36.67%
    Azerbaijan 41.16%
    Draw 22.17%
LuxembourgDrawAzerbaijan
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 7.09%
0-0 @ 2.96%
3-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 4.87%
2-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.34%
3-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 41.16%

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