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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Azerbaijan
0 - 3
Portugal


Alasgarov (16'), Ghorbani (61'), Haghverdi (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Silva (26'), Silva (31'), Jota (75')
Palhinha (15'), Mendes (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.6%) and 0-3 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.28%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawPortugal
9.91%24.19%65.89%
Both teams to score 28.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.83%67.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.62%85.38%
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.45%64.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.19%92.8%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42%20.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88%53.11%
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 9.91%
    Portugal 65.89%
    Draw 24.19%
AzerbaijanDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 5.82%
2-1 @ 2.01%
2-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 9.91%
0-0 @ 13.28%
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 21%
0-2 @ 16.6%
0-3 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-4 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 65.89%

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