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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
RO

Portugal
2 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Ronaldo (89', 90+6')
Ronaldo (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Egan (45')
Hendrick (10'), O'Shea (33'), Connolly (45+2'), Doherty (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 9.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.84%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawRepublic of Ireland
67.96%22.66%9.38%
Both teams to score 29.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.93%64.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76%83.24%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43%18.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16%49.84%
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.2%63.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.53%92.47%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 67.95%
    Republic of Ireland 9.38%
    Draw 22.65%
PortugalDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 19.94%
2-0 @ 16.79%
3-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 1.78%
5-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 67.95%
0-0 @ 11.84%
1-1 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.33%
1-2 @ 2.02%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 9.38%

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