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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
 

Bahrain
4 - 0
Hong Kong

Dhiya (49'), Hashim Issa (54' pen., 70'), Abdulatif (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Michel Afonso (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.

Result
BahrainDrawHong Kong
50.3%23.76%25.95%
Both teams to score 56.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18%17.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44%48.55%
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06%30.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76%67.24%
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 50.3%
    Hong Kong 25.95%
    Draw 23.75%
BahrainDrawHong Kong
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-1 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 25.95%

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