Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 54%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Dominica win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.