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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
FN

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 3
Finland

Menalo (69')
Pjanic (24'), Prcic (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forss (29'), Lod (51'), O'Shaughnessy (73')
Raitala (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawFinland
37.2%25.39%37.41%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58%47.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64%
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.61%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15%24.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55%59.45%
Score Analysis
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 37.2%
    Finland 37.41%
    Draw 25.38%
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 37.41%

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