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FN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
KN

Finland
1 - 0
Kazakhstan

Pohjanpalo (60')
Alho (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Orazov (62'), Erlanov (75'), Zharynbetov (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Finland in this match.

Result
FinlandDrawKazakhstan
50.42%24.08%25.5%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56%46.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28%68.72%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.64%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25%68.75%
Score Analysis
    Finland 50.41%
    Kazakhstan 25.5%
    Draw 24.08%
FinlandDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.41%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.5%

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