Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.75%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.37%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.