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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
FN

Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Finland


Maliy (36'), Zainutdinov (39'), Vorogovskiy (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (45', 48')
Ivanov (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawFinland
27.7%23.38%48.92%
Both teams to score 59.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.99%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96%28.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31%63.69%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81%17.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55%47.45%
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 27.7%
    Finland 48.92%
    Draw 23.38%
KazakhstanDrawFinland
2-1 @ 6.86%
1-0 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.7%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-1 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.47%
1-3 @ 5.58%
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.92%

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