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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde
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Cameroon
2 - 0
Malawi

Aboubakar (9'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (22')
Zambo Anguissa (87'), Bassogog (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mzava (35'), Chester (42'), Mhango (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
CameroonDrawMalawi
55.59%25.53%18.88%
Both teams to score 42.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38%58.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83%79.17%
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.02%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36%45.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56%81.44%
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 55.58%
    Malawi 18.88%
    Draw 25.53%
CameroonDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 14.99%
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 4.73%
4-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.21%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 18.88%

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