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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
NN

Cape Verde
1 - 2
Nigeria

Tavares (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osimhen (30'), Rocha Santos (76' og.)
Okoye (87'), Omeruo (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawNigeria
47.63%25.18%27.18%
Both teams to score 53.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16%49.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16%71.84%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.69%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28%32.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73%69.27%
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 47.63%
    Nigeria 27.18%
    Draw 25.17%
Cape VerdeDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 27.18%

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