Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.32%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
