Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chile had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
