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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
VN

Bolivia
3 - 1
Venezuela

Moreno (5', 83'), Bejarano (60')
Bejarano (12'), Saavedra (45+3'), Justiniano (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chancellor (26')
Angel (33'), Gonzalez (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawVenezuela
35.76%23.56%40.67%
Both teams to score 62.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11%38.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79%61.2%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16%21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93%55.06%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65%51.34%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 35.76%
    Venezuela 40.67%
    Draw 23.56%
BoliviaDrawVenezuela
2-1 @ 8.05%
1-0 @ 6.47%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-1 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.67%

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