Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.