Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
