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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
 
VN

Paraguay
2 - 1
Venezuela

Martinez (7'), Romero (46')
Alonso (21'), Balbuena (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chancellor (90')
Gonzalez (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawVenezuela
49.27%24.97%25.76%
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02%49.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03%71.96%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39%70.61%
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 49.26%
    Venezuela 25.76%
    Draw 24.97%
ParaguayDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 49.26%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.76%

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