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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2021 at 12am UK
colombia
CN

Colombia
3 - 1
Chile

Borja (19' pen., 20'), Diaz (74')
Quintero (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Meneses (56')
Vidal (30'), Pulgar (68'), Diaz (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.9%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawChile
49.8%31.76%18.45%
Both teams to score 29.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.81%75.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.62%90.38%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.2%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.64%56.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.32%88.68%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 49.8%
    Chile 18.44%
    Draw 31.75%
ColombiaDrawChile
1-0 @ 20.53%
2-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.8%
0-0 @ 17.9%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 31.75%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 3.38%
0-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 18.44%

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