Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.