Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
