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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
ZN

Senegal
2 - 1
Zimbabwe

A (44'), M (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amini (3' pen.)
Nyahwa (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawZimbabwe
59.41%25.09%15.5%
Both teams to score 38.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.67%61.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76%81.24%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66%53.34%
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.37%51.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.24%85.76%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 59.41%
    Zimbabwe 15.5%
    Draw 25.08%
SenegalDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 16.83%
2-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 4.6%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.07%
1-2 @ 3.68%
0-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 15.5%

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