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COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 16, 2021 at 1pm UK
 

Senegal
2 - 2
Eswatini

P (58'), Hadji Madicke Kane (80')
A (34'), M (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Matse (15'), Ndzinisa (20')
Magagula (11'), Mamba (63')
Mamba (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SenegalDrawEswatini
54.78%22.36%22.86%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64%41.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.24%63.75%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96%15.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47%43.53%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29%31.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87%68.13%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 54.78%
    Eswatini 22.86%
    Draw 22.35%
SenegalDrawEswatini
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.86%

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