Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Cuba and British Virgin Islands.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.03%) and 3-1 (5.02%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.
