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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Cyprus
2 - 2
Malta

Papoulis (7'), Soteriou (80')
Demetriou (58'), Soteriou (90+1'), Ioannou (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muscat (53'), Degabriele (90+8')
Teuma (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
CyprusDrawMalta
41.14%24.54%34.31%
Both teams to score 59.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12%43.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74%66.26%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63%54.37%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42%59.57%
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 41.14%
    Malta 34.31%
    Draw 24.54%
CyprusDrawMalta
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.31%

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