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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Cyprus
0 - 3
Croatia


Artymatas (33'), Avraam (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perisic (45+2'), Gvardiol (80'), Livaja (90+2')
Kovacic (33'), Stanisic (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawCroatia
26.35%25.05%48.6%
Both teams to score 52.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14%71.85%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61%33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99%70.01%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95%53.05%
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 26.35%
    Croatia 48.59%
    Draw 25.04%
CyprusDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 7.52%
2-1 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.35%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 8.59%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.59%

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