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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Malta
3 - 0
Cyprus

Attard (43', 54'), Mbong (46')
Mbong (18'), Shaw (50'), Mbong (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Soteriou (5'), Papoulis (45+4')
Soteriou (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawCyprus
40.17%22.96%36.86%
Both teams to score 65.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28%35.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21%57.79%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64%18.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52%49.48%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03%51.97%
Score Analysis
    Malta 40.17%
    Cyprus 36.86%
    Draw 22.96%
MaltaDrawCyprus
2-1 @ 8.47%
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.86%

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