Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.