Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
