Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.