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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla
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Spain
3 - 1
Kosovo

Olmo (34'), Torres (36'), Moreno (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Halimi (70')
Kryeziu (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.12%) and 3-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.82%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawKosovo
67.67%23.25%9.07%
Both teams to score 27.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.77%66.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.26%84.74%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47%19.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59%51.41%
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.27%65.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.69%93.31%
Score Analysis
    Spain 67.66%
    Kosovo 9.07%
    Draw 23.25%
SpainDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 20.95%
2-0 @ 17.12%
3-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 3.81%
4-1 @ 1.6%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 67.66%
0-0 @ 12.82%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 5.39%
1-2 @ 1.85%
0-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 9.07%

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