SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 76.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Chad had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.54%) and 3-0 (12.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Chad |
76.59% ( -0) | 16.65% ( 0) | 6.76% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 33.31% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% ( -0) | 51.07% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0) | 72.93% ( 0) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.44% | 11.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.51% ( -0) | 36.49% ( 0.01) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.66% ( 0) | 62.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.2% ( 0) | 91.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Chad |
| 2-0 @ 16.77% 1-0 @ 15.54% 3-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 7.93% 4-0 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.7% 4-1 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.33% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 76.58% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.65% | 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 1.62% Total : 6.76% |
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