SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Zambia |
15.64% ( -0.53) | 25.14% ( -0.56) | 59.22% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.69% ( 1.04) | 61.3% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.78% ( 0.77) | 81.22% ( -0.77) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.11) | 51.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.38% ( -0.08) | 85.62% ( 0.08) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.87) | 20.79% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( 1.35) | 53.44% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.45% Total : 15.64% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 16.78% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 13.18% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 59.21% |
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